Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.093301 3.414067 3.760980 4.165218 4.624773 5.132655 5.738738
2025-08-17 2.549429 2.963825 3.442091 4.039032 4.769915 5.643112 6.776542
2025-08-24 2.233405 2.694004 3.250995 3.982220 4.928951 6.130200 7.797304
2025-08-31 2.019886 2.508672 3.122201 3.961423 5.099439 6.618791 8.853096
2025-09-07 1.904891 2.428126 3.107210 4.071474 5.436208 7.347687 10.319726
2025-09-14 1.765645 2.298834 3.010079 4.051894 5.580586 7.811520 11.453513
2025-09-21 1.642249 2.178055 2.910190 4.012577 5.683430 8.214814 12.538273
2025-09-28 1.495425 2.012433 2.732469 3.840798 5.565234 8.259016 13.035830
2025-10-05 1.426407 1.950697 2.696476 3.873108 5.758845 8.809621 14.460634
2025-10-12 1.375141 1.909994 2.686537 3.941618 6.012804 9.483120 16.202771
2025-10-19 1.327736 1.871030 2.675103 4.004645 6.260864 10.171479 18.080981
2025-10-26 1.279891 1.827764 2.653101 4.047075 6.475581 10.822676 19.993219
2025-11-02 1.228166 1.776677 2.617349 4.067110 6.659379 11.451935 22.005174
2025-11-09 1.150833 1.681371 2.505365 3.949501 6.584765 11.582700 22.972836
2025-11-16 1.093446 1.614012 2.433761 3.894946 6.619119 11.927873 24.482967
2025-11-23 1.047670 1.562442 2.384403 3.874815 6.714925 12.406592 26.398356
2025-11-30 1.029396 1.554026 2.405680 3.981894 7.065924 13.461160 29.955780
2025-12-07 0.989604 1.507987 2.360260 3.962849 7.163856 13.983093 32.261897
2025-12-14 0.949380 1.459092 2.306915 3.924599 7.218176 14.413947 34.419912
2025-12-21 0.890478 1.376094 2.189911 3.757456 6.988929 14.166770 34.612097
2025-12-28 0.867541 1.352977 2.176754 3.788898 7.183006 14.937672 37.968361
2026-01-04 0.851370 1.340539 2.181647 3.855562 7.459560 15.947234 42.332210
2026-01-11 0.835185 1.327187 2.183936 3.916883 7.730372 16.983772 47.095225